Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013 0.000015 0.000017 0.000019
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000010 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000020 0.000025
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000029 0.000042
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000051
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000037 0.000062
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000041 0.000075
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000047 0.000091
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000029 0.000055 0.000117
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000031 0.000062 0.000141
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000033 0.000070 0.000172
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000035 0.000078 0.000206
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000037 0.000086 0.000249
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000017 0.000038 0.000096 0.000301
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000041 0.000108 0.000372
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000043 0.000122 0.000459
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000043 0.000128 0.000523
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000045 0.000140 0.000620
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000046 0.000149 0.000721
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000048 0.000165 0.000878
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000052 0.000194 0.001158
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000054 0.000213 0.001407
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000057 0.000238 0.001762